Polymarket and Kalshi Face Scrutiny After Lula Wins at 20% Odds
Brazil.- 27 October 2026 | www.zonadeazar.com The unexpected victory of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil’s presidential election has sparked debate over the reliability of prediction markets after Polymarket and Kalshi assigned Flávio Bolsonaro an implied probability of approximately 80% just hours before the results became clear. According to an analysis by Unchained, published...